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South Pacific

Analytic Brief: Fiji’s strategic pivot.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Wednesday, January 27th, 2016

  Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov meets with Fijian Prime Minister Voreque “Frank” Bainimarama. Source: Fiji Ministry of Foreign Affairs Last week Fiji took delivery of a shipment of Russian weapons that were “donated” by Russia pursuant to a bilateral Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) signed in February 2015. The Fijians say that the weapons are […]

Analytic Brief: Cyber warfare comes to the South Pacific.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Friday, June 12th, 2015

News that Chinese hackers obtained personal details of 4 million US federal employees dating to 1985, following on the heels of similar attacks on the customer records of private insurance companies and retirement funds as well as the internal email networks of the US State Department and White House, demonstrate that a guerrilla cyber-war is […]

Country Risk Assessment: New Caledonia.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Wednesday, October 22nd, 2014

    Political risk assessments are an under appreciated aspect of the due diligence undertaken as part of the process of engaging in cultural, diplomatic or economic exchanges in foreign locations. Most political risk analysis, including country risk assessments, are done by large credit rating agencies and insurance underwriters. Some nations provide country risk assessments […]

Analytic Brief: Could Fiji emulate Singapore?

Written by Paul Buchanan on Friday, September 26th, 2014

 Fiji Government Buildings, Suva. Photo: Stemoc via Wikimedia Commons.   Fiji represents the latest iteration of a “top-down” transition from authoritarian to elected civilian rule. “Top down” regime transitions are those where the outgoing authoritarian regime controls the process by which elected government is installed, including the timing and terms of elections. The process is […]

Risk Assessment: Selling sovereignty and declining responsibility. Flags of Convenience in the South Pacific.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Tuesday, August 28th, 2012

Risk Assessment: Selling sovereignty and declining responsibility. Flags of Convenience in the South Pacific. Analysis – By Dr Paul G. Buchanan. Introduction: One of the solutions to the problem of revenue generation in resource-poor states such as the small island countries of the South Pacific is found in the sale of tokens of sovereignty. Tokens […]

Intelligence Analytics: Conceptualizing Foreign Aid as an Instrument of Policy

Written by Paul Buchanan on Thursday, June 21st, 2012

Intelligence Analytics: Conceptualizing Foreign Aid as an Instrument of Policy Analysis – By Dr Paul G. Buchanan. Announcement that the European Union will direct  another 19 million Euros on top of the 785 million Euros (NZ$ 1.3 billion) already allocated to climate change adaptation in the Pacific serves as a good reference point for discussion […]

State of the Nation Brief: Samoa at 50

Written by Paul Buchanan on Tuesday, June 12th, 2012

State of the Nation Brief: Samoa at 50 Analysis – By Dr Paul G. Buchanan. Samoa (also known as Western Samoa) celebrated 50 years of independence from New Zealand last month. Located between 13.35 degrees and 14.9 degrees South and 169.35 and 172.20 degrees West and consisting of nine islands, it is the oldest of […]

Analysis: New Zealand’s United Nations Security Council Bid

Written by Paul Buchanan on Thursday, May 31st, 2012

Analysis: New Zealand’s United Nations Security Council Bid. 36th Parallel Assessments – Analysis By Dr Paul G. Buchanan Introduction:On May 24, 2012the foreign ministers of the United States of America and New Zealand met for bilateral meetings after the conclusion of the NATO Summit in Chicago. Afghanistan, Syria and Myanmar were topics of discussion, but […]

Status of Forces Report Part 2: Military Professionalism in the South Pacific.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Friday, May 25th, 2012

Status of Forces Report Part 2: Military Professionalism in the South Pacific. 36th Parallel Assessment Series – By Paul G. Buchanan Introduction: In Part One of the the Status of Forces series, 36th Parallel Assessments offered an overview of typologies of military forces and civil-military relations. Designed as an introduction to the subject for readers […]

Weekly Analysis: Managing Corruption in the South Pacific

Written by Paul Buchanan on Wednesday, April 11th, 2012

Weekly Analysis: Managing Corruption in the South Pacific Analysis and Forecast – By Dr. Paul G. Buchanan. Although it is unfortunate to say so, corruption is a major feature of South Pacific life. It is pervasive, endemic, often culturally rooted but now aggravated by the presence of external actors intent on securing material or political […]

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