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Analytic Brief: Influence Operations, Targeted Interventions and Intelligence Gathering: A Primer.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Saturday, September 23rd, 2017

Revelations of Chinese influence operations in Australia and New Zealand, and the ongoing sequels to the Russian “interference” in the 2016 US election, have caused outcry and concern amongst policy-makers and public alike. Beyond the xenophobic aspects to fears of the spectre of a “Yellow Peril” emerging in the Antipodes (a fear that we do […]

Analytic Brief: Foreign Policy Realignment, Issue Linkage and Institutional Lag.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Wednesday, July 15th, 2015

   Sometimes there is more to the picture. Forward. This analytic brief is derived from an ongoing study of South Pacific intelligence communities. There are numerous facets to the study, one of which is intelligence alliances and networks. The brief highlights three undervalued concepts in foreign policy practice and offers some general observations about why […]

Balancing civil liberties and intelligence operations in New Zealand.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Wednesday, March 18th, 2015

In recent days there have been claims that there has been both more and less spying by New Zealand intelligence agencies. Proponents and opponents of the intelligence community have seized on one or the other claim to argue in favour or against NZ’s involvement in the 5 Eyes signals intelligence network and the expansion of […]

Country Risk Assessment: New Caledonia.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Wednesday, October 22nd, 2014

    Political risk assessments are an under appreciated aspect of the due diligence undertaken as part of the process of engaging in cultural, diplomatic or economic exchanges in foreign locations. Most political risk analysis, including country risk assessments, are done by large credit rating agencies and insurance underwriters. Some nations provide country risk assessments […]

Analytic Brief: Some advice about travel advisories.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Monday, January 6th, 2014

Travel advisories are used by tourists and businesses to judge the risks involved in traveling to and investing in foreign countries and regions. Issued by governments and private entities, travel advisories are useful as a starting point for ascertaining risks abroad but should not be relied on exclusively for determination of them. In this brief […]

Paul G. Buchanan interviewed on The Nation regarding potential Chinese cyber espionage and New Zealand’s ability to defend against it.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Sunday, October 14th, 2012

Paul G. Buchanan interviewed on The Nation regarding potential Chinese cyber espionage and New Zealand’s ability to defend against it. This week the US launched a fresh attack on Chinese telecommunication companies. A congressional committee issued a warning to companies in the US, saying Huawei and ZTE may be a front for Chinese spying, and […]

RNZ Interview: Paul Buchanan IVed On Radio New Zealand On An Investigation Into The GCSB

Written by Selwyn Manning on Tuesday, September 25th, 2012

RNZ Interview: Paul Buchanan IVed On Radio New Zealand On An Investigation Into The GCSB RNZ Report: With Paul Buchanan – Security and Intelligence Analyst, and Nicky Hager – Investigative Journalist and Author, whose 1996 book “Secret Power – New Zealand’s role in the international spy network” detailed the surveillance system, ECHELON, used at the […]

Radio Australia Interview: Paul Buchanan On US looks to NZ to help counter China

Written by Selwyn Manning on Monday, September 24th, 2012

This week the United States’ Defence Secretary Leon Panetta visited New Zealand after holding bilateral meetings with the People’s Republic of China and Japan. Panetta met with New Zealand’s Defence Minister Jonathan Coleman and announced how the US and NZ are progressing their military and defence ties. Panetta also raised how the US is willing […]

Interview: Opposition Grows Against New Zealand Government’s Anti-Boat People/Asylum-Seeker Deterrent Legislation

Written by Selwyn Manning on Tuesday, September 11th, 2012

Opposition Grows Against New Zealand Government’s Anti-Boat People/Asylum-Seeker Deterrent Legislation TriangleTV Interview: Selwyn Manning With Tracey Barnett – Asylum Seeker Laws – September 10, 2012. The New Zealand National-led Government has initiated legislation that, if passed through its final stages of Parliament, will detain asylum-seekers should they arrive at the nation’s borders in groups of […]

The Pacific Fibre Issue – Has The US Gone Too Far?

Written by Selwyn Manning on Thursday, August 2nd, 2012

The Pacific Fibre Issue – Has The US Gone Too Far? Analysis – By Selwyn Manning. On Thursday morning Interest.co.nz‘s Alex Tarrant reported that the Kiwi Pacific Fibre cable project was sunk by US fears about Chinese investment, and espionage. Interest.co.nz‘s main contact was New Zealand-based invester Rod Drury who said: “It was made clear […]

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