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	<title>Forecasts &#8211; 36th Parallel Assessments (NZ)</title>
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	<description>Pacific regional security intelligence forecasting and assessments</description>
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	<item>
		<title>The moment of friction.</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2024/04/20/the-moment-of-friction/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 20 Apr 2024 02:09:36 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[External Powers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Featured]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitical Risk]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Military]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Strategic Assessment]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://36th-parallel.com/?p=127177</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[In strategic studies &#8220;friction&#8221; is a term that it is used to describe the moment when military action encounters adversary resistance. &#8220;Friction&#8221; is one of four (along with an unofficial fifth) &#8220;F&#8217;s&#8221; in military strategy, which includes force (kinetic mass), fluidity (of manoeuvre), fog (of battle) as well as uncertainty (of outcomes, which is usually ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>A bridge too far.</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2018/11/21/a-bridge-too-far/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 20 Nov 2018 18:43:03 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[External Powers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Zealand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pacific Region]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[People's Republic of China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rotate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategic Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Super-Power Presence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[USA]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asia Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peoples Republic of China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Political Transition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trend Forecasting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States of America]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">https://36th-parallel.com/?p=121604</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The Labour-led government in New Zealand has settled on a new mantra when it comes to addressing the US-China rivalry. It claims that New Zealand is ideally situated to become a bridge between the two great powers and an honest broker when it comes to their interaction with the Southwest Pacific. This follows the long-held ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>The Importance of Leadership Analysis.</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2017/02/14/the-importance-of-leadership-analysis/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 14 Feb 2017 00:12:50 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rotate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Strategic Assessment]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=94235</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Leadership analysis is a vital yet under-utilised tool in the field of geopolitical risk assessment and strategic analysis. In this brief we explain why it is important, how it is undertaken and what 36th Parallel Assessments can offer clients in this regard. The election of Donald Trump to the US presidency has revived interest in ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Analytic Brief: Fiji&#8217;s strategic pivot.</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2016/01/27/fijis-strategic-pivot/</link>
					<comments>https://36th-parallel.com/2016/01/27/fijis-strategic-pivot/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jan 2016 05:57:44 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Country Overview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Country risk assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiji]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Region]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rotate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Super-Power Presence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Political Transition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trend Forecasting]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=68575</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Last week Fiji took delivery of a shipment of Russian weapons that were &#8220;donated&#8221; by Russia pursuant to a bilateral Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) signed in February 2015. The Fijians say that the weapons are needed by Fijian peacekeepers in places like the Middle East because what they currently have in their inventory are obsolete. ]]></description>
		
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			<slash:comments>2</slash:comments>
		
		
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		<title>Country Risk Assessment: New Caledonia.</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2014/10/22/country-risk-assessment-new-caledonia/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 22 Oct 2014 02:21:06 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Country Overview]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Country risk assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Energy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Melanesia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Caledonia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rotate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asia Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Political Transition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trend Forecasting]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=40047</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Political risk assessments are an under appreciated aspect of the due diligence undertaken as part of the process of engaging in cultural, diplomatic or economic exchanges in foreign locations. Most political risk analysis, including country risk assessments, are done by large credit rating agencies and insurance underwriters. Some nations provide country risk assessments for citizens ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Analytic Brief: Transitional Dilemmas.</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2014/03/16/analytic-brief-transitional-dilemmas/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Mar 2014 22:49:28 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiji]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Military]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pacific Region]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rotate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Assessment]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=36851</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Transitions from military-bureaucratic rule have been a salient characteristic of contemporary political dynamics. The desire to return to the barracks and seek legitimation push military-bureaucratic authoritarians towards holding elections as a means of devolving power to civilian authorities. They do so only under conditions that they largely control in order to pursue specific outcomes with ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Analytic Brief: The Transition Tango in Fiji.</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2013/10/03/analytic-brief-the-transition-tango-in-fiji/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 02 Oct 2013 23:21:00 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiji]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rotate]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=36745</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Analytic Brief: The Transition Tango in Fiji. Paul G. Buchanan Fiji Parliament House. Photo courtesy of Jarred Wilshire, 2006 via Wikimedia Commons.  The move from authoritarian to freely elected rule is a dynamic moment.  It should be seen as a window of opportunity but also one of significant risk. The Fijian political transition scheduled for ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Futures Forecast: A &#8220;Guarded&#8221; Democracy in Fiji.</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2013/01/17/futures-forecast-a-guarded-democracy-in-fiji/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 16 Jan 2013 22:32:11 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiji]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pacific Region]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rotate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[democracy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiji Coup]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trend Forecasting]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=29113</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Futures Forecast: A &#8220;Guarded&#8221; Democracy in Fiji. Paul G. Buchanan Change of Guard Ceremony, Government House, Suva. Republic of Fiji Military Forces hand over guardship to Republic of Fiji Police. Photo: Republic of Fiji Military Forces (http://www.rfmf.mil.fj/news/Change%20of%20Guards.html) . &#160; Revelations that the Fijian military-bureaucratic regime has rejected important aspects of the draft constitution submitted by ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Analytic Brief: A Romney Foreign Policy and the Southwestern Pacific.</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2012/09/21/analytic-brief-a-romney-foreign-policy-and-the-southwestern-pacific/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 20 Sep 2012 16:44:04 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rotate]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Super-Power Presence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asia Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peoples Republic of China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trend Forecasting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States of America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Analysis]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=26985</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Analytic Brief: A Romney Foreign Policy in the Southwestern Pacific. Analysis – By Dr. Paul G. Buchanan. Introduction: 36th Parallel Assessments Founding Partner Dr. Paul G. Buchanan has been traveling in the US for a month. He has had an opportunity to observe the US election campaign from both coasts, and in this brief discusses the ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Intelligence Analytics: Conceptualizing Foreign Aid as an Instrument of Policy</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2012/06/21/foreign-aid-instrument-policy/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Jun 2012 09:00:33 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[External Powers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Natural Resource]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pacific Region]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Aid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asia Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[foreign aid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pacific aid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Analysis]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=16895</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Intelligence Analytics: Conceptualizing Foreign Aid as an Instrument of Policy Analysis &#8211; By Dr Paul G. Buchanan. Announcement that the European Union will direct  another 19 million Euros on top of the 785 million Euros (NZ$ 1.3 billion) already allocated to climate change adaptation in the Pacific serves as a good reference point for discussion ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Interview: Selwyn Manning IVs Labour&#8217;s Foreign Affairs Spokesperson Phil Goff On NZ&#8217;s UN Security Council Bid</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2012/06/12/interview-selwyn-manning-ivs-labours-foreign-affairs-spokesperson-phil-goff-on-nzs-un-security-council-bid/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Selwyn Manning]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 12 Jun 2012 06:45:02 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[External Powers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Humanitarian Relief]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Military]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Multimedia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Zealand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Super-Power Presence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Canberra]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States of America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Analysis]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=16647</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Interview: Selwyn Manning IVs Labour&#8217;s Foreign Affairs Spokesperson Phil Goff On NZ&#8217;s UN Security Council Bid Triangle TV, LiveNews.co.nz: Important Points &#8211; New Zealand&#8217;s former Foreign Affairs Minister Phil Goff reveals that Australia&#8217;s former PM Kevin Rudd, abandoned a pledge agreed in 2004 between Canada, New Zealand and Australia, that New Zealand would be next ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>State of the Nation Brief: Samoa at 50</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2012/06/12/state-of-the-nation-brief-samoa-at-50/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 11 Jun 2012 21:22:22 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pacific Region]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Samoa]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Government]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pacific aid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trend Forecasting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Analysis]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=16137</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[State of the Nation Brief: Samoa at 50 Analysis &#8211; By Dr Paul G. Buchanan. Samoa (also known as Western Samoa) celebrated 50 years of independence from New Zealand last month. Located between 13.35 degrees and 14.9 degrees South and 169.35 and 172.20 degrees West and consisting of nine islands, it is the oldest of ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Analysis: New Zealand&#8217;s United Nations Security Council Bid</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2012/05/31/analysis-new-zealands-united-nations-security-council-bid/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 31 May 2012 00:50:07 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Zealand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pacific Region]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Region]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Super-Power Presence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asia Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Disarmament]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nuclear Free Policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nuclear Non-Proliferation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Political Transition]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trend Forecasting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[UN Security Council]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United Nations]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States of America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Analysis]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=15593</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Analysis: New Zealand&#8217;s United Nations Security Council Bid. 36th Parallel Assessments &#8211; Analysis By Dr Paul G. Buchanan Introduction:On May 24, 2012the foreign ministers of the United States of America and New Zealand met for bilateral meetings after the conclusion of the NATO Summit in Chicago. Afghanistan, Syria and Myanmar were topics of discussion, but ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Status of Forces Report Part 2: Military Professionalism in the South Pacific.</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2012/05/25/status-of-forces-report-part-2-military-professionalism-in-the-south-pacific/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 May 2012 03:28:11 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiji]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[French Polynesia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Melanesia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Military]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Zealand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pacific Region]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Papua New Guinea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Solomon Islands]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[South Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tonga]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asia Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peoples Republic of China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Private Army]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[RAMSI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States of America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Analysis]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=15131</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Status of Forces Report Part 2: Military Professionalism in the South Pacific. 36th Parallel Assessment Series – By Paul G. Buchanan Introduction: In Part One of the the Status of Forces series, 36th Parallel Assessments offered an overview of typologies of military forces and civil-military relations. Designed as an introduction to the subject for readers ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Weekly Assessment: Intelligence Analytics</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2012/05/11/weekly-assessment-intelligence-analytics/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 10 May 2012 22:09:02 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Intelligence]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trend Forecasting]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Analysis]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=9269</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Weekly Assessment: Intelligence Analytics Assessment &#8211; By Dr. Paul G. Buchanan. From time to time 36th Parallel Assessments will offer intelligence analytic briefs. These are quick, short-hand tools that give a rapid grasp on a given subject. The analytic brief is not meant to be a substitute for a full intelligence assessment. Instead, it serves ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>The Papua New Guinea Crisis – Australia and New Zealand&#8217;s Challenge</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2012/05/03/the-papua-new-guinea-crisis-australia-and-new-zealands-challenge/</link>
					<comments>https://36th-parallel.com/2012/05/03/the-papua-new-guinea-crisis-australia-and-new-zealands-challenge/#comments</comments>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Selwyn Manning]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 May 2012 01:29:11 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Melanesia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Military]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Natural Resource]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Zealand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Papua New Guinea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asia Pacific]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=5231</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[The Papua New Guinea Crisis – Australia and New Zealand&#8217;s Challenge Weekly Analysis &#8211; By Selwyn Manning. As Papua New Guinea struggles to maintain order in the face of two clashing political factions, its two southern neighbors Australia and New Zealand are compelled to tread a soft diplomatic line rather than risk destroying progressive rapprochement with ]]></description>
		
					<wfw:commentRss>https://36th-parallel.com/2012/05/03/the-papua-new-guinea-crisis-australia-and-new-zealands-challenge/feed/</wfw:commentRss>
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		<title>Weekly Analysis: Chile&#8217;s Pacific Presence.</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2012/04/27/weekly-analysis-chiles-pacific-presence/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Apr 2012 05:58:28 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Economics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[External Powers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Level A]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Military]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pacific Region]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=4905</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Weekly Analysis: Chile&#8217;s Pacific Presence Analysis &#8211; By Dr Paul G. Buchanan Most attention focused on the South Pacific is directed at its Western fringe, where the majority of inhabitants reside and where, consequently, the political dynamics are the strongest. But the Southeastern Pacific, while underpopulated and lacking in the land masses of its southwestern neighbors, ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Guest Analysis: Pacific Tilting West To PNG &#8211; And Super Power Rivalry</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2012/04/27/guest-analysis-pacific-tilting-west-to-png-and-super-power-rivalry/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[36th Parallel]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 27 Apr 2012 04:14:38 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiji]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Guest Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Level A]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Melanesia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Zealand]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pacific Region]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Papua New Guinea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Super-Power Presence]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=5075</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Guest Analysis: Pacific Tilting West To PNG &#8211; And Super Power Rivalry By economist Professor Wadan Narsey This analysis was first published on Pacific Scoop: If this was a news release by a geologist, alarm bells would be ringing around the Pacific and international scientific community. But retitle it “Pacific politics tilting to PNG” and ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Interview: Glenn Williams IVs Paul Buchanan on the Summit of the Americas Talk-Fest</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2012/04/24/interview-glenn-williams-ivs-paul-buchanan-on-the-summit-of-the-americas-talk-fest/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[36th Parallel]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 23 Apr 2012 21:19:31 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[External Powers]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Multimedia]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[APEC]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[External Report]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign affairs]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[Latin America]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Peoples Republic of China]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[United States of America]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=4895</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Interview: Glenn Williams IVs Paul Buchanan on the Summit of the Americas Talk-Fest Eye On The World: 36th-Parallel.com&#8217;s Paul Buchanan talks to Glenn Williams about the failure of this year&#8217;s Summit of the Americas talk-fest, and how the countries of Latin America are exercising their independence and indifference against the USA. Eye On The World ]]></description>
		
		
		
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		<title>Weekly Analysis: Is Papua New Guinea A Failing State?</title>
		<link>https://36th-parallel.com/2012/04/22/weekly-analysis-is-papua-new-guinea-a-failing-state/</link>
		
		<dc:creator><![CDATA[Paul Buchanan]]></dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sat, 21 Apr 2012 21:54:40 +0000</pubDate>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Forecasts]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Geopolitics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Level A]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Melanesia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Papua New Guinea]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Security]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Weekly Assessment]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Asia Pacific]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Australia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bougainville]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fiji]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Foreign affairs]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pacific aid]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[RAMSI]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Trend Forecasting]]></category>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://36th-parallel.com/?p=4755</guid>

					<description><![CDATA[Weekly Analysis: Is Papua New Guinea A Failing State? Analysis and Forecast &#8211; by Paul G. Buchanan. The ongoing political crisis in Papua New Guinea (PNG) is what is known in comparative politics as an &#8220;impossible game:&#8221; all major political actors have the ability to veto their opponent&#8217;s projects but none have the ability to ]]></description>
		
		
		
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