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Assessment Brief: Indian-Australian strategic co-operation in the early 21st century.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Wednesday, October 31st, 2012

Assessment Brief: Indian-Australian strategic co-operation in the early 21st century. Balaji Chandramohan and Paul G. Buchanan Introduction. In recent years Australia and India have assumed a greater role in international affairs, emerging as regional powers with great power potential. Changes in the international environment, particularly the rise of China as a common source of concern [...]

Paul G. Buchanan interviewed on The Nation regarding potential Chinese cyber espionage and New Zealand’s ability to defend against it.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Sunday, October 14th, 2012

The Nation - Paul Buchanan and Rachel Smalley

Paul G. Buchanan interviewed on The Nation regarding potential Chinese cyber espionage and New Zealand’s ability to defend against it. This week the US launched a fresh attack on Chinese telecommunication companies. A congressional committee issued a warning to companies in the US, saying Huawei and ZTE may be a front for Chinese spying, and [...]

RNZ Interview: Paul Buchanan IVed On Radio New Zealand On An Investigation Into The GCSB

Written by Selwyn Manning on Tuesday, September 25th, 2012

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RNZ Interview: Paul Buchanan IVed On Radio New Zealand On An Investigation Into The GCSB RNZ Report: With Paul Buchanan – Security and Intelligence Analyst, and Nicky Hager – Investigative Journalist and Author, whose 1996 book “Secret Power – New Zealand’s role in the international spy network” detailed the surveillance system, ECHELON, used at the [...]

Analytic Brief: A Romney Foreign Policy and the Southwestern Pacific.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Friday, September 21st, 2012

romneyspoliticalgamble

Analytic Brief: A Romney Foreign Policy in the Southwestern Pacific. Analysis – By Dr. Paul G. Buchanan. Introduction: 36th Parallel Assessments Founding Partner Dr. Paul G. Buchanan has been traveling in the US for a month. He has had an opportunity to observe the US election campaign from both coasts, and in this brief discusses the [...]

Interview: Opposition Grows Against New Zealand Government’s Anti-Boat People/Asylum-Seeker Deterrent Legislation

Written by Selwyn Manning on Tuesday, September 11th, 2012

Triangle TV Interview - Selwyn Manning IVs Tracey Barnett on the NZ Government's Asylum-Seeker Deterrent Bill

Opposition Grows Against New Zealand Government’s Anti-Boat People/Asylum-Seeker Deterrent Legislation TriangleTV Interview: Selwyn Manning With Tracey Barnett – Asylum Seeker Laws – September 10, 2012. The New Zealand National-led Government has initiated legislation that, if passed through its final stages of Parliament, will detain asylum-seekers should they arrive at the nation’s borders in groups of [...]

Risk Assessment: Selling sovereignty and declining responsibility. Flags of Convenience in the South Pacific.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Tuesday, August 28th, 2012

Fire boat response crews battle the blazing remnants of the off shore oil rig Deepwater Horizon. A Coast Guard MH-65C dolphin rescue helicopter and crew document the fire aboard the mobile offshore drill (Image sourced from http://de.wikipedia.org).

Risk Assessment: Selling sovereignty and declining responsibility. Flags of Convenience in the South Pacific. Analysis – By Dr Paul G. Buchanan. Introduction: One of the solutions to the problem of revenue generation in resource-poor states such as the small island countries of the South Pacific is found in the sale of tokens of sovereignty. Tokens [...]

Afghanistan: Beefing Up In Order To Leave

Written by Paul Buchanan on Thursday, August 23rd, 2012

New Zealand Defence Force: "It was a sad day for New Zealand as Corporal Luke Tamatea, Lance Corporal Jacinda Baker and Private Richard Harris arrived back home today."

Afghanistan: Beefing Up In Order To Leave Analysis – By Dr Paul G. Buchanan. In the wake of the most recent NZDF deaths in Bamiyan Province, the New Zealand Prime Minister has decided to accelerate the timetable for withdrawal of NZDF from the Bamiyan Provincial Reconstruction Team to April 2013. After that the PRT will [...]

Analysis: A different sort of BRIC (Australia in comparative perspective).

Written by Paul Buchanan on Tuesday, August 14th, 2012

US President Barack Obama and Australia Prime Minister Julia Gillard - image courtesy of the White House.

Analysis: A different type of BRIC (Australia in comparative perspective). In this installment of the 36th Parallel series of analytic briefs, the focus is on Australia compared to other rising middle powers, including three of the BRICs: Brazil, Russia, India. Analysis – By Dr. Paul G. Buchanan. Although it may irk the okkers, Australia can [...]

Selwyn Manning Interviews Coalition For Democracy In Fiji’s Nik Naidu on Fiji’s Slow Walk Back To Democracy

Written by Selwyn Manning on Tuesday, August 7th, 2012

Selwyn Manning interviews Coalition For Democracy In Fiji's Nik Naidu on Fiji's slow walk back to democracy

Fiji: Selwyn Manning Interviews Coalition For Democracy In Fiji’s Nik Naidu on Fiji’s Slow Walk Back To Democracy This Week: Selwyn Manning interviews Nik Naidu on Fiji’s Slow Walk Back To Democracy – Beatson Interview, Triangle TV, August 6 2012. Nothing is ever very predictable about the political situation in Fiji – except its unpredictability. [...]

The Pacific Fibre Issue – Has The US Gone Too Far?

Written by Selwyn Manning on Thursday, August 2nd, 2012

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The Pacific Fibre Issue – Has The US Gone Too Far? Analysis – By Selwyn Manning. On Thursday morning Interest.co.nz‘s Alex Tarrant reported that the Kiwi Pacific Fibre cable project was sunk by US fears about Chinese investment, and espionage. Interest.co.nz‘s main contact was New Zealand-based invester Rod Drury who said: “It was made clear [...]

Alleged Canadian Spy Breached Five Eyes Echelon Intelligence

Written by 36th Parallel on Thursday, July 26th, 2012

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Alleged Canadian Spy Breached Five Eyes Echelon Intelligence Major Intelligence Breach: News reports have revealed that a Canadian naval officer has been arrested on security charges where it is alleged he sold military-related signals intelligence to Russian spies. The intelligence is believed to include information circulated between the US, Britain, Canada, Australia and New Zealand [...]

Parliamentary Network on Nuclear Disarmament (PNND) Visit to North Korea (DPRK) – Post Visit Report

Written by 36th Parallel on Wednesday, July 25th, 2012

Parliamentary Network on Nuclear Disarmament (PNND) Visit to North Korea (DPRK) – Post Visit Report Report by and courtesy of Matt Robson. See Also: Speech to Korea Association of New Zealand. ******* REPORT FROM MATT ROBSON- REPRESENTATIVE OF PARLIAMENTARIANS NETWORK FOR NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT (PNND) and BOARD MEMBER OF AOTEAROA LAWYERS FOR PEACE (ALP) ON: FACT-FINDING [...]

Parliamentary Network on Nuclear Disarmament Visit to North Korea – Post Visit Speech

Written by 36th Parallel on Wednesday, July 25th, 2012

Parliamentary Network on Nuclear Disarmament (PNND) Visit to North Korea (DPRK) – Post Visit Speech Speech by and courtesy of Matt Robson. See Also: Post North Korea Visit Report. ******* HON MATTHEW ROBSON, FORMER MINISTER OF DISARMAMENT AND ARMS CONTROL OF NEW ZEALAND SPEECH TO KOREAN ASSOCIATION OF NEW ZEALAND FAIRWAY LODGE TAKAPUNA AUCKLAND 05 [...]

Dispatch: The Weird Twist Underlying the NZSIS Raid on Fiji’s Pro-Democracy Movement

Written by Selwyn Manning on Thursday, July 19th, 2012

NZSIS director Dr Warren Tucker

The Weird Twist Underlying the NZSIS Raid on Fiji’s Pro-Democracy Movement Dispatch – By Selwyn Manning. Yesterday veteran Pacific journalist Mike Field broke this story where New Zealand’s Security Intelligence Service raided a Mt Albert dairy (grocery) owned by former Fiji Cabinet minister Rejesh Singh. A SIS officer, accompanied by three police officers – presumably [...]

Analytic Brief: Managing Policy Fade

Written by Paul Buchanan on Thursday, July 19th, 2012

Fiji Prime Minister, Voreqe Frank Bainimarama. (Image by Selwyn Manning.)

Analytic Brief: Managing Policy Fade* From time to time 36th Parallel Assessments offers analytic briefs on subjects of diplomatic, geopolitical and strategic interest. This week’s topic is policy fade. Analysis – By Paul G. Buchanan. Deployment of Fijian soldiers and police as UN peacekeepers after the 2006 military coup in that country is a good [...]

TriTV Interview – Selwyn Manning IVs Matt Robson on Foreign Affairs and the Value of Aid

Written by Selwyn Manning on Tuesday, July 17th, 2012

Selwyn Manning IVs Matt Robson

TriTV Interview – Selwyn Manning IVs Matt Robson on Foreign Affairs and the Value of Aid Beatson Interview – Selwyn Manning IVs Matt Robson on foreign affairs, New Zealand’s independent brand, and the value of development aid. Matt Robson is a former New Zealand Associate Minister of Foreign Affairs, and a minister responsible for NZAid [...]

Fiji’s Military Regime Deploys More Personnel To UN Ops Than Australia, Canada, New Zealand Combined

Written by Selwyn Manning on Friday, July 13th, 2012

UN Plaza: image by Selwyn Manning and courtesy of Scoop Media.

Fiji’s Military Regime Deploys More Personnel To UN Ops Than Australia, Canada, New Zealand Combined Dispatch/Forecast – by Selwyn Manning. Since the 2006 Fiji coup Commodore Voreqe (Frank) Bainimarama’s military-led government has remained fully engaged with the United Nations while incrementally increasing the number of troops and police it contributes to UN peacekeeping operations to [...]

Assessment: Partners But Not Allies – New Zealand and the US Sign The Washington Declaration

Written by Paul Buchanan on Wednesday, June 27th, 2012

Marines from 3rd Combat Engineer Battalion teamed up with soldiers from the New Zealand Army June 20, 2012 to conduct bilateral training.  (Official USMC photos by Lance Cpl. Ali Azimi. )

Assessment: Partners But Not Allies – New Zealand and the US Sign The Washington Declaration Assessment/Analysis – By Dr Paul G. Buchanan. On June 20 New Zealand Defense Minister Jonathan Coleman and US Secretary of Defense Leon Panetta signed the Washington Declaration, which specifies priority areas of cooperation between the militaries of both countries.The Washington Declaration [...]

Interview: 95bFM’s Simon Maude IVs Selwyn Manning On The Washington Declaration

Written by Selwyn Manning on Thursday, June 21st, 2012

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Interview: 95bFM’s Simon Maude IVs Selwyn Manning On New Zealand Signing the USA’s Washington Declaration Military Pact 95bFM The Wire Counter-Clockwise Bulletin – Recorded live on 21/06/12: Main Points – On Wednesday June 20, New Zealand’s Minister of Defence Jonathan Coleman met with the United States’ secretary of defense Leon Panetta at the Pentagon in [...]

Interview: Glenn Williams IVs Paul Buchanan On Defense Strategy & the Use Of Drones

Written by Paul Buchanan on Wednesday, June 13th, 2012

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Interview: Glenn Williams IVs Paul Buchanan On Defense Strategy & the Use Of Drones How effective are drones in assisting military forces in hostile conflict? And what considerations are given to the legalities of the use of drones, is it ethical, or indeed is it moral to use unmanned drones? Paul Buchanan and Glenn Williams [...]

Interview: Selwyn Manning IVs Labour’s Foreign Affairs Spokesperson Phil Goff On NZ’s UN Security Council Bid

Written by Selwyn Manning on Tuesday, June 12th, 2012

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Interview: Selwyn Manning IVs Labour’s Foreign Affairs Spokesperson Phil Goff On NZ’s UN Security Council Bid Triangle TV, LiveNews.co.nz: Important Points – New Zealand’s former Foreign Affairs Minister Phil Goff reveals that Australia’s former PM Kevin Rudd, abandoned a pledge agreed in 2004 between Canada, New Zealand and Australia, that New Zealand would be next [...]

Interview: 95bFM’s Simon Maude IVs Selwyn Manning On The Implications Of New Zealand Signing A NATO Security Pact

Written by Selwyn Manning on Thursday, June 7th, 2012

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Interview: 95bFM’s Simon Maude IVs Selwyn Manning On The Implications Of New Zealand Signing A NATO Security Pact 95bFM’s The Wire – Recorded live on 7/06/12: Selwyn Manning & Simon Maude discuss the implications of New Zealand signing a NATO security pact titled Individual Partnership Cooperation Programme (IPCP). Background: This week New Zealand Prime Minister [...]

Interview: Glenn Williams IVs Paul Buchanan on New Zealand’s Security Council Bid

Written by Paul Buchanan on Wednesday, June 6th, 2012

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Interview: Glenn Williams IVs Paul Buchanan on New Zealand’s Security Council Bid 36th-Parallel.com’s Dr Paul Buchanan joins Glenn Williams to discuss New Zealand’s bid to be come a non-permanent member of the United Nations Security Council. Will New Zealand be successful in its bid? Is the United States backing the campaign? If so, is this [...]

NATO and New Zealand sign new partnership accord

Written by 36th Parallel - Media Release on Tuesday, June 5th, 2012

NATO Media Release: NATO and New Zealand sign new partnership accord NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen and John Key, New Zealand’s Prime Minister, pledged closer security cooperation after signing a new partnership cooperation accord at NATO headquarters on 4 June 2012. The Secretary General said the NATO-New Zealand Individual Partnership Cooperation Programme (IPCP) formalised [...]

Analysis: New Zealand’s United Nations Security Council Bid

Written by Paul Buchanan on Thursday, May 31st, 2012

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Analysis: New Zealand’s United Nations Security Council Bid. 36th Parallel Assessments – Analysis By Dr Paul G. Buchanan Introduction:On May 24, 2012the foreign ministers of the United States of America and New Zealand met for bilateral meetings after the conclusion of the NATO Summit in Chicago. Afghanistan, Syria and Myanmar were topics of discussion, but [...]

Status of Forces Report Part 2: Military Professionalism in the South Pacific.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Friday, May 25th, 2012

Image of NZDF personnel, courtesy of NZDF and RNZAF.

Status of Forces Report Part 2: Military Professionalism in the South Pacific. 36th Parallel Assessment Series – By Paul G. Buchanan Introduction: In Part One of the the Status of Forces series, 36th Parallel Assessments offered an overview of typologies of military forces and civil-military relations. Designed as an introduction to the subject for readers [...]

Beatson Interview – Selwyn Manning IVs Henry Yamo on Papua New Guinea Instability

Written by 36th Parallel on Tuesday, May 22nd, 2012

Henry Yamo

Beatson Interview – Selwyn Manning IVs Henry Yamo on Papua New Guinea Instability Text Report by 36th Parallel & Pacific.Scoop.co.nz: Peter O’Neill and his supporters have defiantly declared their caretaker government in charge in the in lead-up to next month’s Papua New Guinea general election despite his administration being declared illegal by the Supreme Court. [...]

Interview: Glenn Williams IVs Paul Buchanan on the South China Sea Territorial Tensions

Written by 36th Parallel on Tuesday, May 22nd, 2012

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Interview: Glenn Williams IVs Paul Buchanan on the South China Sea Territorial Tensions Analysis: Geopolitics and strategic balancing in the South China Sea. China has been asserting its territorial claims very aggressively and the United States and associated South East Asian countries have responded. Most recently China and the Philippines have clashed over the Scarborough [...]

Interview: Radio New Zealand’s Chris Laidlaw IVs Paul Buchanan on Drones

Written by 36th Parallel on Tuesday, May 15th, 2012

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Interview: Radio New Zealand’s Chris Laidlaw IVs Paul Buchanan on Drones Radio New Zealand intro: This week we hear from professor Noel Sharkey about the development of fully autonomous drones, blogger Yousef Aljamal about life under the drones in the Gaza strip, and defence analyst Paul Buchanan will talk us through the strategic implications of [...]

Arms Smuggling Into PNG From Indonesia As Elections Draw Close

Written by 36th Parallel on Friday, May 11th, 2012

PNG Arms - Image courtesy of Pacific Scoop

Arms Smuggling Into PNG From Indonesia As Elections Draw Close First published in the Post-Courier and Pacific Scoop (Pacific Media Centre) Report – By Frank Rai in Port Moresby. Police in Vanimo have confirmed a gun running syndicate operating between the Highlands region of Papua New Guinea and Indonesia is smuggling high-powered firearms into the [...]

Weekly Assessment: Intelligence Analytics

Written by Paul Buchanan on Friday, May 11th, 2012

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Weekly Assessment: Intelligence Analytics Assessment – By Dr. Paul G. Buchanan. From time to time 36th Parallel Assessments will offer intelligence analytic briefs. These are quick, short-hand tools that give a rapid grasp on a given subject. The analytic brief is not meant to be a substitute for a full intelligence assessment. Instead, it serves [...]

Interview: Why Australia & NZ Have Taken A Softly Approach Over Papua New Guinea’s Crisis

Written by Selwyn Manning on Friday, May 4th, 2012

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Interview: Glenn Williams IVs Selwyn Manning on Why Australia & NZ Have Taken A Softly Approach Over Papua New Guinea’s Crisis Introduction: As Papua New Guinea struggles to maintain order in the face of two clashing political factions, its two southern neighbors Australia and New Zealand are compelled to tread a soft diplomatic line rather [...]

The Papua New Guinea Crisis – Australia and New Zealand’s Challenge

Written by Selwyn Manning on Thursday, May 3rd, 2012

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The Papua New Guinea Crisis – Australia and New Zealand’s Challenge Weekly Analysis – By Selwyn Manning. As Papua New Guinea struggles to maintain order in the face of two clashing political factions, its two southern neighbors Australia and New Zealand are compelled to tread a soft diplomatic line rather than risk destroying progressive rapprochement with [...]

Interview: Glenn Williams IVs Paul Buchanan on the Problems of Pulling Out of Afghanistan

Written by Selwyn Manning on Tuesday, May 1st, 2012

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Eye on the World: Paul Buchanan & Glenn Williams on Afghanistan and the Problems Of Pulling Out 36th-Parallel.com‘s Paul Buchanan joins Glenn Williams to discuss the problems New Zealand and Australia faces while preparing to pull soldiers out of Afghanistan. Paul Buchanan discusses how a recent visit to Afghanistan’s Bamiyan province by New Zealand’s Minister [...]

Assessment: Fiji Country Overview

Written by Paul Buchanan on Friday, January 13th, 2012

Fiji Prime Minister, Voreqe Frank Bainimarama. (Image by Selwyn Manning.)

Country Overview (January 2012): Fiji. Futures Forecast – By Dr Paul G. Buchanan. The next six months will seecontinued tensions between the Bainimarama regime and its neighbours, Western powers and with the Fijian opposition abroad and at home. Uncertainty will grow around the issue of constitutional reform and election timetabling. There will be no significant [...]

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