Analytic Brief: Elite Exodus as a political indicator. Analysis – By Paul G. Buchanan. Introduction: In an earlier brief 36th Parallel Assessments highlighted the forecasting potential of capital flight. In that brief difference was made between foreign and domestic capital flight as indicators of regime instability. In this brief attention shifts to an overlapping phenomenon that [...]
Intelligence
Analytic Brief: Elite Exodus as a political indicator.
Written by Paul Buchanan on Tuesday, November 20th, 2012
Paul G. Buchanan interviewed on The Nation regarding potential Chinese cyber espionage and New Zealand’s ability to defend against it.
Written by Paul Buchanan on Sunday, October 14th, 2012
Paul G. Buchanan interviewed on The Nation regarding potential Chinese cyber espionage and New Zealand’s ability to defend against it. This week the US launched a fresh attack on Chinese telecommunication companies. A congressional committee issued a warning to companies in the US, saying Huawei and ZTE may be a front for Chinese spying, and [...]
RNZ Interview: Paul Buchanan IVed On Radio New Zealand On An Investigation Into The GCSB
Written by Selwyn Manning on Tuesday, September 25th, 2012
RNZ Interview: Paul Buchanan IVed On Radio New Zealand On An Investigation Into The GCSB RNZ Report: With Paul Buchanan – Security and Intelligence Analyst, and Nicky Hager – Investigative Journalist and Author, whose 1996 book “Secret Power – New Zealand’s role in the international spy network” detailed the surveillance system, ECHELON, used at the [...]
The Pacific Fibre Issue – Has The US Gone Too Far?
Written by Selwyn Manning on Thursday, August 2nd, 2012
The Pacific Fibre Issue – Has The US Gone Too Far? Analysis – By Selwyn Manning. On Thursday morning Interest.co.nz‘s Alex Tarrant reported that the Kiwi Pacific Fibre cable project was sunk by US fears about Chinese investment, and espionage. Interest.co.nz‘s main contact was New Zealand-based invester Rod Drury who said: “It was made clear [...]
Alleged Canadian Spy Breached Five Eyes Echelon Intelligence
Written by 36th Parallel on Thursday, July 26th, 2012
Alleged Canadian Spy Breached Five Eyes Echelon Intelligence Major Intelligence Breach: News reports have revealed that a Canadian naval officer has been arrested on security charges where it is alleged he sold military-related signals intelligence to Russian spies. The intelligence is believed to include information circulated between the US, Britain, Canada, Australia and New Zealand [...]
Dispatch: The Weird Twist Underlying the NZSIS Raid on Fiji’s Pro-Democracy Movement
Written by Selwyn Manning on Thursday, July 19th, 2012
The Weird Twist Underlying the NZSIS Raid on Fiji’s Pro-Democracy Movement Dispatch – By Selwyn Manning. Yesterday veteran Pacific journalist Mike Field broke this story where New Zealand’s Security Intelligence Service raided a Mt Albert dairy (grocery) owned by former Fiji Cabinet minister Rejesh Singh. A SIS officer, accompanied by three police officers – presumably [...]
Weekly Assessment: Intelligence Analytics
Written by Paul Buchanan on Friday, May 11th, 2012
Weekly Assessment: Intelligence Analytics Assessment – By Dr. Paul G. Buchanan. From time to time 36th Parallel Assessments will offer intelligence analytic briefs. These are quick, short-hand tools that give a rapid grasp on a given subject. The analytic brief is not meant to be a substitute for a full intelligence assessment. Instead, it serves [...]
36th-Parallel Pacific Region News Round-Up – March 14 2012
Written by Selwyn Manning on Wednesday, March 14th, 2012
36th-Parallel Pacific Region News Round-Up Fiji/Papua New Guinea: Fiji’s military-led government is actively promoting a commercial-wing of its defense network as a recruiter and agent for private military-styled security personnel. Fiji Defence Logistics was established in 2008, less than two years after Commodore Voreqe (Frank) Bainimarama and the Republic’s military overthrew the Fijian government. The [...]
36th-Parallel Pacific Region News Round-Up – March 13 2012
Written by 36th Parallel on Tuesday, March 13th, 2012
36th-Parallel Pacific Region News Round-Up Fiji: Ousted Fiji prime minister Laisenia Qarase has spoken out against Fiji’s current constitution reform plan, stating the next general election should be carried out under the 1997 Constitution. Qarase said if Fiji followed that path it could then pursue constitutional reform under an elected government rather than a military-led [...]
36th-Parallel Pacific Region News Round-Up – March 07 2012
Written by 36th Parallel on Wednesday, March 7th, 2012
36th-Parallel Pacific Region News Round-Up In Melanesia, significant instability is evident inside Papua New Guinea with Malum Nalu reporting the Chief Justice Sir Salamo Injia having been arrested by PNG Police after alleged mishandling of court funds. The arrest is the latest symptom of institutional instability that has flared since former PNG prime minister Sir [...]