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Analysis Assessment

The Importance of Leadership Analysis.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Tuesday, February 14th, 2017

Leadership analysis is a vital yet under-utilised tool in the field of geopolitical risk assessment and strategic analysis. In this brief we explain why it is important, how it is undertaken and what 36th Parallel Assessments can offer clients in this regard. Source: Pinterest.com The election of Donald Trump to the US presidency has revived […]

From failure, opportunity beckons.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Wednesday, January 25th, 2017

The Trump administration’s decision to withdraw the Trans-Pacific Partnership Agreement, a multinational trade and investment accord involving eleven Pacific Rim countries other than the US, is seen as a blow to hopes for a freer flow of goods and services in the Asia-Pacific Region. In this analytic brief we look at the potential opportunities presented […]

Constitutional Coups.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Tuesday, September 6th, 2016

A disturbing development in democratic politics is the emergence of a new form of forced ouster of presidents. Although military-led coups continue to occur, they have increasingly been met with disapproval at home and abroad. In their place have emerged “constitutional coups” whereby impeachment is used as a weapon against executive branch incumbents by disloyal […]

Political Risk and Sustainable Enterprise.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Thursday, March 31st, 2016

Boomslang canopy walkway, Kirstenbosch Botanical Gardens, Cape Town, South Africa.   The terms “political risk” and “sustainable enterprise” are not often associated. They should be. The degree of sustainability of an enterprise has direct and long- term cultural, economic, social and political ramifications for the communities in which it is located. The less sustainable the […]

Occasional Paper Series: Foreign Policy Realignment, Issue Linkage, Institutional Lag and the New Zealand Intelligence Community.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Wednesday, March 2nd, 2016

New Zealand’s Government Communications Security Bureau facility in Waihopai, South Island (41° 34′ 35″ S, 173° 44′ 20″ E). Source: Shultz via Wikimedia Commons.   Introduction.  This essay examines the subject of institutional lag after foreign policy realignment, using as an example the “core “ of the New Zealand intelligence community (the Security Intelligence Service […]

Analytic Brief: Fiji’s strategic pivot.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Wednesday, January 27th, 2016

  Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov meets with Fijian Prime Minister Voreque “Frank” Bainimarama. Source: Fiji Ministry of Foreign Affairs Last week Fiji took delivery of a shipment of Russian weapons that were “donated” by Russia pursuant to a bilateral Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) signed in February 2015. The Fijians say that the weapons are […]

Occasional Paper Series: Democratic “Deepening” and Economic Reform: Chile and New Zealand Compared

Written by Paul Buchanan on Thursday, August 27th, 2015

Design: GringoinChile via Wikimedia Commons.   Much has been written about the relationship between democracy and economic development or, conversely, certain types of authoritarian regime and market-oriented reforms. In this 36th Parallel Assessments Occasional Paper, Research Associate Dr. Kate Nicholls and Director Paul G. Buchanan compare and contrast market-oriented economic reforms in Chile and New […]

Analytic Brief: Foreign Policy Realignment, Issue Linkage and Institutional Lag.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Wednesday, July 15th, 2015

   Sometimes there is more to the picture. Forward. This analytic brief is derived from an ongoing study of South Pacific intelligence communities. There are numerous facets to the study, one of which is intelligence alliances and networks. The brief highlights three undervalued concepts in foreign policy practice and offers some general observations about why […]

Analytic Brief: Cyber warfare comes to the South Pacific.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Friday, June 12th, 2015

News that Chinese hackers obtained personal details of 4 million US federal employees dating to 1985, following on the heels of similar attacks on the customer records of private insurance companies and retirement funds as well as the internal email networks of the US State Department and White House, demonstrate that a guerrilla cyber-war is […]

A hard rain is a’gonna fall.

Written by Paul Buchanan on Saturday, May 23rd, 2015

Although 36th Parallel Assessments is loathe to prognosticate on fluid situations and current events,we have been thinking about how the conflict in Iraq has been going. Althoughwe do not believe that the Islamic State (IS) is anywhere close to being the global threat that it is portrayed to be in the West, we do believe […]

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